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Audio Version New Function! In the early days of the “vaccine” rollout, we ran a number of articles talking about the risk-reward of the new mRNA jabs. Dr Sadaf Gilani, in particular, did great in-depth articles on “absolute danger reduction”.
To explain “outright threat reduction” (ARR) in simple terms: if an unvaccinated individual has a 10% possibility of getting the disease, and an immunized individual has a 1% chance, then the ARR for the vaccine is 9%.
Obviously, that’s simply an example, the real ARR for the Covid “vaccines” is nowhere near 9%:
This is the absolute risk decrease for Pfizer/BioNtech (each group had over 18,000 people):
Injection Group: 8/18,198 = 0.04%
Placebo Group: 162/18,325 = 0.88%
Outright threat decrease = 0.84%
From the “absolute threat decrease”, you can then compute the “number required to immunize” (NNTV). This is the rough number of people you need to inject in order to definitely prevent one case/death.
To continue the example above, if your vaccine lowers the odds of infection from 10% to 1% (an ARR of 9%), you need to vaccinate eleven individuals to avoid one infection, providing you an NNTV of 11.
Once again, the NNTV of the Covid vaccines are much, much, MUCH greater than 11. Estimates vary from in between 88 and 700 to avoid a single case, and anything approximately 100,000 to avoid one solitary death.
And remember, all this data was for grownups. Kids are at a far lower threat from Covid– both in regards to hospitalisation and death. In the United States, kids aged 5-11 have a 99.992% possibility of surviving “Covid”— so it naturally follows the NNTV for this group will be far, far greater than for adults.
But, now that the FDA has authorized Pfizer’s “vaccine” for emergency situation usage on children aged 5-11, “far, far higher” is unsatisfactory. We require to determine a real figure for the “number required to vaccinate” in order to hypothetically protect one child from dying “with Covid”.
Luckily for us, another person has actually currently done it.
Writing on his Substack, economic expert Toby Rodgers PhD has collated the numbers from Pfizer’s own trials, the FDA and the CDC and done an extremely extensive write. You can read the entire thing here, we’ll just provide you with a few of the highlights:
Since October 30, 2021, the CDC mentioned that 170 children ages 5 to 11 have actually died of COVID-19-related health problem because the start of the pandemic. (That represents less than 0.1% of all coronavirus-related deaths nationwide although children that age make up 8.7% of the U.S. population).
The Pfizer mRNA shot just “works” for about 6 months (it increases risk in the first month, provides moderate defense in months 2 through 4 and after that effectiveness starts to wane, which is why all of the FDA modeling just used a 6 month time-frame). So any modeling would have to be based upon vaccine effectiveness in connection with the 57 (170/3) kids who may otherwise have died of COVID-related health problem throughout a 6-month duration.
At best, the Pfizer mRNA shot may be 80% reliable versus hospitalizations and death. That number comes directly from the FDA modeling (p. 32). I am flexing over backwards to offer Pfizer the benefit of considerable doubt because again, the Pfizer medical trial revealed NO reduction in hospitalizations or death in this age.
So injecting all 28,384,878 children ages 5 to 11 with 2 dosages of Pfizer (which is what the Biden administration wishes to do) would save, at a lot of, 45 lives (0.8 effectiveness x 57 casualties that otherwise would have taken place throughout that time duration = 45).
So then the NNTV to prevent a single death in this age group is 630,775 (28,384,878/ 45). But it’s a 2 dosage regimen so if one wishes to compute the NNTV per injection the number doubles to 1,261,550. It’s actually the worst NNTV in the history of vaccination.
630,000 children injected with 1.2 million dosages to save one life. That’s incredibly inefficient. Nevertheless, it could be even worse than that.
As we covered last week, according to data mentioned at the VRBPAC conference, just 94 children from the 5-11 age group have actually died. If this lower figure is right, the NNTV to avoid a single death leaps up to 915,641.
In other words, in order to hypothetically avoid a single kid from passing away over a 6 month period, you would have to inject almost one million children with practically two million doses of the Pfizer vaccine.
What kind of risk are those 915,641 kids dealing with from their two dosages of Pfizer mRNA soup?
Well, early studies found around 11.1 cases of severe anaphylaxis per million dosages of the Pfizer shot, so currently any “completely vaccinated” child is practically 22x most likely to have an allergic reaction than to really be safeguarded from Covid.
Other serious responses are harder to compute.
It is known, for instance, that Pfizer’s own trial showed increased all-cause mortality in the immunized group vs the placebo group, to the point the trial was abandoned after 6 months and all staying placebo members were provided the vaccine, successfully ruining the control group. To price quote Rodgers again:
As Bobby Kennedy explains, Pfizer’s medical trial in adults revealed alarming boosts in all cause mortality in the vaccinated:
“In Pfizer’s 6 month scientific trial in grownups– there was 1 covid death out of 22,000 in the vaccine (“treatment”) group and 2 Covid deaths out of 22,000 in the placebo group (see Table s4). So NNTV = 22,000. The catch exists were 5 cardiovascular disease deaths in the vaccine group and just 1 in placebo group. So for each 1 life saved from Covid, the Pfizer vaccine kills 4 from cardiovascular disease. All cause death in the 6 month research study was 20 in vaccine group and 14 in placebo group.
So a 42% all cause mortality increase among the immunized. The vaccine loses almost all effectiveness after 6 months so they had to reduce the research study. They unblinded and offered the vaccine to the placebo group. At that point the increasing harm line had long ago intersected the sinking efficacy line.
Previous NY Times investigative press reporter Alex Berenson also blogged about the bad results for the immunized in the Pfizer medical trial in adults (here). Berenson got a life time ban from Twitter for posting Pfizer’s own scientific trial information.
It’s not in Huge Pharma’s interest to have an accurate collation of serious vaccine reactions, combine this with the (acknowledged) prospective for totally unidentified long-lasting adverse effects, and computing the complete prospective risk ends up being really made complex.
Nevertheless, Rodgers– utilizing the VAERS information as his basis– makes a very affordable effort:
- Since the Pfizer scientific trial has no useable information, I have to immuno-bridge from the closest age.
- 31,761,099 individuals (so just about 10% more individuals than in the 5 to 11 age bracket) ages 12 to 24 have gotten at least one coronavirus shot.
- The COVID-19 vaccine program has actually just existed for 10 months and more youthful individuals have just had access more recently (kids 12 to 15 have had gain access to for five months; given that Might 10)– so we’re taking a look at roughly the very same observational time period as designed above.
- Throughout that time, there are 128 reports of deadly negative effects following coronavirus mRNA injections in people 12 to 24. (That’s through October 22, 2021. There is a reporting lag though so the real number of reports that have actually been submitted is certainly greater).
At this point, going purely off main information and VAERS reports, you can conclude that injecting every 5-11 years of age in the US would theoretically conserve roughly 31 lives, but eliminate roughly 116 kids.
That’s plainly currently an extremely bad result. However, if the predictions for under-reporting of vaccine damages are precise, it’s potentially much worse than that:
- Kirsch, Rose, and Crawford (2021) quote that VAERS undercounts fatal responses by a factor of 41 which would put the total deadly negative effects in this age-range at 5,248. (Kirsch et al. represents a conservative estimate due to the fact that others have put the underreporting element at 100.)
- With potentially lethal negative effects consisting of myo- and pericarditis disproportionately affecting youth it is sensible to think that over time the rate of deadly negative effects from mRNA shots in kids ages 5 to 11 might be similar to those in ages 12 to 24.
[…] Picture that, at most half of American parents will be foolish enough to inject this hazardous product into their kids. At a 50% uptake rate, the ACIP decision to authorize the Pfizer shot will likely kill 2,624 kids via negative responses in order to possibly save 12 from COVID-19-related disease.
In conclusion, going purely off official information, immunizing 5-11 years of age will create 22 allergic reactions per death prevented, and could effectively result in four deaths per life conserved.
And, if Rodgers’ calculations are right, the Pfizer shot could eliminate over 200 kids prior to it has actually conserved a single one.
As always, the point of this analysis is to show that even the facility’s own information doesn’t support their conclusions, it is NOT necessarily an endorsement of that information, or of the idea that “Covid” is certainly a “pandemic” that poses any sort of threat to anyone.