(Continued from Part 1. This concludes the short article.)
No matter what third-party gamers do on the international phase (China, Russia, Iran– in that order), this country may be on the roadway to a slow-rolling collapse over the next eighteen months. All the important things that currently get news coverage are like the opening act before Garth Brooks takes the show stage. Ukraine– So what? Taiwan– Well, it had to happen. Failing economy– All Trump’s fault. West Texas crude oil above $120 per barrel– Simply park your truck. And any of these things could result in higher costs for energy and bigger supply chain problems for electronic devices and medical materials plus an extra spurt to inflation which will have already spread to the rest of the international economy.
As long as the electrical grid, internet, and monetary processing networks continue to work at some level, fairly minimal city violence but quickly increasing crime rates seem likely and will be hell for the merchants and regional residents experiencing it. Tranquil demonstrations total with torched patrol car and burning structures will most likely be focused in the inner-city locations of major city areas. Los Angeles, Houston, Portland, Milwaukee, Detroit, Newark, San Francisco, Seattle, Chicago, and New Yok City. These conspicuously blue cities have already experienced peaceful protesters and considerate district attorneys as their own warmup gigs. The new protests may be activated before November on reasonably unimportant phony news.
All bets are off if there are major terrorist attacks on refineries, the power grid, or the telecom networks including cell and web. If that takes place, kiss typical “Goodbye”– in a rush. Meantime, life won’t be precisely regular in either little cities or suburbia and even fly-over nation. One of the many repercussion of continual inflation is government spending plan over-runs, and this will strike municipal and state governments as quickly as genuine inflation surpasses 10% or maybe previously. What will happen next and is already beginning to take place is that community bond underwriters will not have the ability to position the enormous quantity of city and state bond financing that will be required just to finance day-to-day operations and locked-in pension payments.
Within the next six to twelve months, the monetary press and after that the MSM may need to report problems with community bond fundings and a general credit squeeze from commercial banks even if the Federal Reserve takes only the anticipated modest, token steps. As federal government budgets come under severe pressure, a minimum of two spending line products will be spared at the start. The first concern will be making retirement payments for underfunded federal government pension prepares out of present capital, however right behind will be providing broad support for the homeless and all the uneducated and unskilled unlawful immigrants pouring in at a rate of 2 million annually and then bussed and flown at federal expenditure all over the country.
Eventually, truth will set in, and workers cuts will be the only remaining choice for city and state administrations. Defund the cops is coming even where it was not voted in. The compromise that follows is between diversity administrators and their friendly, efficient, and loyal assistance personnel versus important employees in such mundane tasks as street maintenance, trash collection, sewage processing, and city water supply. There will be an extremely thin blue line, and community services may not be a lot much better than Caracas or other 3rd World cities.
Healthcare facilities, health care service providers, and health insurers have actually had to deal firsthand with all the COVID issues, instructions, and mandates and supply services to prohibited immigrants on a concern basis. Healthcare facilities will suffer the most as running costs climb up and inflation-related wage pressures make workers shortages worse. For consumers, insurance coverage rates will leap along with co-pays while protections will drop. For how long prior to this is a vital problem? Sometime in the next twelve to eighteen months– depending upon the actual increase in workers expenses and total inflation rates.
Supply chain logistics will continue to be a mess even without inflationary interruptions. Between unemployment for individuals who lost jobs that got gotten rid of, and companies unable to work with workers at earnings that equal inflation, both large and small businesses will face staffing problems and a relentless attack on revenue margins. The length of time can companies of any size continue to run? A year? Part method into the 2nd half of 2023? All the method to November 2024?
Even if the GOP takes control of one or both the Senate and your house beginning in 2023, there will likely be little or no financial relief coming out of Washington and no new bi-partisan spending or financial support bills for the last 2 years of the Biden administration regardless who sits in the Oval Workplace. Broadened joblessness coverage for those folks that companies are required to lay off will not take place unless Biden or his follower wields the mighty pen and indications an Executive Order releasing unapproved funding. In the meantime, Biden’s latest stay on trainee loans ends May 1 and is causing concerns about whether the stay will be held off until after the primaries or perhaps the November elections so as not to sour the Millennials. Political name-calling and individual hostility will increase significantly particularly if there is an upset in the existing power balance from the midterm elections. Net outcome: Little or no political compromise or cooperation even in a time of dire need.
At some time in this timeline, festering issues in the economies of China, Russia, and Western Europe may come to a head. China’s whole economy is based on exports. A big drop in purchasing power abroad means politically undesirable domestic actions. Russia’s primary income is energy. Any sustained risk to that capital will have a huge impact. Europe is currently on the ropes as a result of COVID policies intensified by previous Chancellor Merkel’s successful efforts to aid an intrusion of refugees from the Middle East. Expect to see extreme efforts to regulate the European economies which will just make the cumulative issues worse. And, any of these economies may implode at any time.
NO GREAT SERVICES
No good news on the domestic front either. More reliance on imported energy with petroleum back over $100 per barrel and climbing. Guns and ammo in brief supply with Biden’s existing embargo on Russian ammunition cutting imports and driving prices up. Total dependence on China, Taiwan, and Korea for chips for lots of consumer goods but particularly for the rolling computer systems known as gas-guzzling trucks and the rest of the car industry. The DOJ, FBI, and NSA all concerned more with mad moms and dads than cyber warfare. Educators’ unions combating to keep their rights to indoctrinate kids as much as and including college. Ineffective vaccines and inefficient boosters being mandated for no legitimate reason. And then, there are a number of explosive cases in the next two terms at the Supreme Court with outcomes specific to anger a range of special interest groups on both sides and trigger more tranquil protests.
The source has been credited to different theorists including Confucius. One expression originated from Robert F. Kennedy in a speech at the University of Cape Town on June 6, 1966:
“There is a Chinese curse which states ‘Might he reside in intriguing times.’ Like it or not, we reside in interesting times.”
Yes, we do. Whether you are a hard-core survivalist with a bugout bag, a homesteader with a huge garden and few animals, a farmer living in Wyoming or Idaho, an armchair prepper with a high-end house in New York City, or a shopping mall Ninja with a safe full of unfired guns, there is excellent news! The whole nation has been offered a wake-up call. Utilize the next 6 to eighteen months sensibly.
– Buy what you need while you can before prices intensify on a quarterly or month-to-month basis.
– Add to your capability by taking classes or sharpening existing skills.
– Practice and train with your defensive preps prior to you need them.
When banks are closed for an extended bank vacation, charge card are refused, and all EBT/SNAP cards are not funded digitally. The very next step will be violence and property crime on an unprecedented scale. Desperate and hungry individuals do desperate things– even to next-door neighbors. People accustomed to shopping in a riot do not stop at the checkout.
Those who are quick to respond to the immediate dangers may have an opportunity. Playing nice and supplying charity may improve your pride but will not decrease the displeasure of the have-nots toward the haves. This will be specifically true when large groups have a mob mindset.
Should this circumstance take place, expect brand-new state and federal government policies in reaction to the trouble making it illegal to have more than a 30-day supply of food (or 7 days???) Martial law total with curfews will be considered by desperate bureaucrats. Guns of any sort may be declared illegal and special sanctions might obtain having an assault rifle. Lockdowns, vax requireds, and masks have conveniently acted as a practice run to condition compliance … “Papiere, bitte.”
Individuals who already live in the American Redoubt or rural areas throughout the nation will be in the best position to weather the coming storm. Those who left Dodge, maybe five to 10 years earlier, will be in better shape than those who remained to take pleasure in the huge city life. If moving remains in your long-range strategy, do it now. The paper value of realty is header higher as are home loan rates. If you live within 100 miles of any city that experienced serene protests in 2020 and are still not sure what to do, then decide and move this year.
How bad could it get? Do not remain to find out.